Italy vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
ITA
0 - 4
ENG
61%
18%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
FRA
1 - 3
ITA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 1
CSK
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
AUT
5 - 1
ITA
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1947 |
CUB
5 - 2
USA
30%
20%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1947 |
USA
0 - 5
MEX
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
5 - 1
USA
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 3
USA
64%
18%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
MEX
7 - 2
USA
61%
19%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |