Italy vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
NGA
1 - 2
ITA
26%
30%
44%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
24%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
0 - 1
IRL
64%
23%
13%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRC
70%
20%
10%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1994 |
ESP
3 - 0
SUI
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1994 |
BOL
1 - 3
ESP
27%
27%
46%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1994 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
46%
26%
29%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 2
KOR
67%
20%
13%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
ESP
18%
27%
56%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |