Olympic Games Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Italy vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1928 |
FRA
3 - 4
ITA
36%
24%
41%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
ITA
4 - 3
HUN
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1928 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1928 |
ESP
7 - 1
MEX
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1928 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1927 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1927 |
FRA
1 - 4
ESP
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |