Italy vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
17.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
21.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
16%
7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7%
1.4%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
GER
2 - 0
ITA
35%
27%
38%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1995 |
SUI
0 - 1
ITA
29%
31%
40%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
LTU
0 - 1
ITA
8%
22%
69%
|
96 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
UKR
0 - 2
ITA
11%
24%
65%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
ITA
4 - 1
EST
92%
7%
1%
|
96 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
EST
1 - 3
SVN
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
LTU
2 - 1
SVN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CRO
2 - 0
SVN
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
SVN
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 2
LTU
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |