Italy vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ARM
1 - 3
ITA
10%
23%
68%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 0
MLT
81%
15%
5%
|
94 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BGR
2 - 2
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
17%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
95 | 99 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
BGR
1 - 1
DEN
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 0
CZE
51%
25%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 3
SVK
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 2
GER
15%
18%
67%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
DEN
2 - 3
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |