Italy vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
CSK
2 - 0
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ITA
0 - 3
SWE
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
ITA
3 - 0
GRC
81%
15%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
SWE
2 - 0
ITA
30%
29%
41%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
ROU
1 - 0
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
CYP
0 - 1
ROU
5%
17%
78%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
SWE
5 - 0
CYP
91%
7%
3%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
CSK
6 - 0
CYP
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
CYP
1 - 1
CSK
21%
25%
53%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1983 |
CYP
1 - 1
ITA
6%
20%
75%
|
54 | 91 | 37 | 0 |