Italy vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 1
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 0
SVK
91%
8%
2%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
ITA
1 - 0
RUS
69%
20%
11%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1997 |
RUS
1 - 1
ITA
28%
29%
43%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
32%
28%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
TUN
2 - 3
CHI
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
CHI
2 - 2
URU
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
15%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 0
LTU
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |