Italy vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
6 - 1
BGR
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
FRA
0 - 0
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1966 |
DDR
5 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |