Italy vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1947 |
AUT
5 - 1
ITA
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ITA
5 - 2
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
ITA
3 - 2
AUT
71%
15%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
SUI
4 - 4
ITA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
ROU
2 - 6
CSK
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1947 |
CSK
6 - 3
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1947 |
DEN
2 - 2
CSK
61%
18%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
CSK
3 - 1
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |