Italy vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1925 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1925 |
ITA
2 - 1
YUG
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 12 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1925 |
POR
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1925 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
ITA
7 - 0
FRA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1925 |
CSK
7 - 0
YUG
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 12 | 69 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1925 |
CSK
2 - 0
HUN
56%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1925 |
CSK
3 - 1
AUT
57%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1924 |
YUG
0 - 2
CSK
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 12 | 68 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
CSK
4 - 1
ROU
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |