Italy vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
1 - 1
PER
79%
14%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1982 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
DDR
1 - 0
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1982 |
FRA
2 - 0
ITA
37%
28%
35%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
CMR
86%
10%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
PER
0 - 0
CMR
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
CMR
0 - 0
GHA
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
CMR
1 - 1
GUI
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
CMR
2 - 1
SEN
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |