Italy vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 0
CMR
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1998 |
ITA
2 - 2
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 1
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 0
SVK
91%
8%
2%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 1
AUT
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1998 |
CMR
1 - 1
AUT
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
AUT
6 - 0
LIE
96%
4%
1%
|
88 | 9 | 79 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
AUT
2 - 1
TUN
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
AUT
0 - 3
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |