Italy vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1934 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
ITA
7 - 1
USA
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
ITA
4 - 0
GRC
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
ITA
2 - 4
AUT
52%
20%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1934 |
AUT
2 - 1
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
AUT
3 - 2
FRA
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
6 - 1
BGR
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
AUT
5 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
SUI
2 - 3
AUT
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |