Italy vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1923 |
CSK
5 - 1
ITA
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1923 |
AUT
0 - 0
ITA
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1923 |
ITA
0 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1922 |
ITA
2 - 2
SUI
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
GER
4 - 3
AUT
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1923 |
HUN
2 - 0
AUT
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1923 |
AUT
2 - 1
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
4 - 2
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1923 |
AUT
1 - 0
HUN
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |