Italy vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BIH
0 - 3
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 5
ITA
6%
19%
75%
|
92 | 34 | 58 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRC
71%
20%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 2
ITA
19%
26%
56%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 3
ITA
14%
24%
62%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 1
GRC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
FIN
3 - 0
ARM
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 1
ARM
5%
12%
83%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
4 - 2
BIH
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 3
ITA
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |