Italy vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1996 |
CZE
2 - 1
ITA
29%
28%
43%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1996 |
ITA
2 - 1
RUS
67%
21%
12%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
HUN
0 - 2
ITA
22%
30%
48%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
ITA
2 - 2
BEL
63%
23%
14%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1996 |
ITA
3 - 0
WAL
71%
20%
9%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
RUS
0 - 3
GER
38%
28%
35%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
GER
2 - 0
CZE
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1996 |
GER
9 - 1
LIE
96%
4%
1%
|
92 | 10 | 82 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
GER
0 - 1
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
NIR
1 - 1
GER
26%
27%
47%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |