Italy vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.1%
5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
GER
25%
23%
52%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 4
ITA
7%
18%
75%
|
92 | 27 | 65 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
2 - 3
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ISR
1 - 3
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 3
ISR
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
ESP
7%
17%
77%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 2
ALB
10%
19%
71%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MKD
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAR
38%
29%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |