Italy vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUI
63%
23%
14%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1994 |
ITA
2 - 0
FIN
76%
18%
7%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
GER
2 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
41%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1994 |
ITA
0 - 1
FRA
51%
27%
23%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
ITA
1 - 0
POR
68%
22%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
CRC
0 - 0
NOR
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1993 |
KSA
3 - 2
CRC
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1993 |
KSA
1 - 2
CRC
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
CRC
1 - 1
JAM
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |