Italy vs Chinese Taipei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1960 |
ITA
3 - 0
CHE
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ITA
1 - 1
HUN
27%
21%
53%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
CSK
2 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |