Israel vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ISR
53%
19%
28%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ISR
1 - 2
BGR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 5
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 0
ISR
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISR
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1966 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
URU
1 - 3
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1965 |
BRA
3 - 0
URU
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
URU
2 - 1
PER
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |