Israel vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
ISR
1 - 4
ROU
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1989 |
ISR
0 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ISR
58%
24%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
ISR
3 - 3
WAL
43%
29%
28%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 0
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
2 - 1
NED
59%
24%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
16%
28%
56%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1990 |
CRC
1 - 2
SUN
23%
30%
47%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1990 |
COL
0 - 0
SUN
21%
29%
49%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |