Israel vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.8%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.7%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.6%
1.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CYP
3 - 2
ISR
26%
25%
50%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
SVK
1 - 0
ISR
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
ISR
5 - 0
AUT
34%
25%
42%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
ISR
3 - 0
CYP
83%
12%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
ROU
0 - 2
ISR
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
48 | 97 | 49 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
AUT
7 - 0
SMR
96%
3%
1%
|
48 | 89 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
48 | 97 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
CYP
4 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |