Israel vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1981 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1980 |
POR
3 - 0
ISR
60%
24%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
27%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISR
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ROU
2 - 0
POL
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
ROU
2 - 1
ENG
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROU
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
ROU
4 - 1
YUG
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |