Israel vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
KOR
3 - 1
ISR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1977 |
JPN
0 - 2
ISR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
ROU
71%
20%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
3 - 2
YUG
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ROU
1 - 0
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |