Israel vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1981 |
SCO
3 - 1
ISR
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
ISR
2 - 1
ROU
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1981 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1980 |
POR
3 - 0
ISR
60%
24%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
POR
2 - 0
POL
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
3 - 0
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1981 |
POR
2 - 0
ESP
40%
29%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
NIR
1 - 0
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |