Israel vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ISR
2 - 1
LTU
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ISR
6 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
FRA
3 - 0
ISR
84%
11%
4%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 2
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SVN
3 - 1
ISR
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MDA
2 - 1
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
MDA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 0
MDA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 0
MDA
29%
24%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
LUX
1 - 2
MDA
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |