Israel vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1974 |
ISR
0 - 1
ROU
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1974 |
IRN
1 - 0
ISR
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
ISR
2 - 0
KWT
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1974 |
ISR
2 - 0
PRK
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1974 |
ISR
3 - 0
MMR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
7 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1974 |
MEX
3 - 1
USA
80%
13%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BRA
1 - 1
MEX
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |