Israel vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1979 |
ISR
4 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1979 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUT
40%
28%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 0
IRL
51%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 5
ENG
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1979 |
DEN
4 - 0
NIR
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
73%
19%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |