Israel vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
IRN
2 - 1
ISR
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1968 |
ISR
4 - 1
TWN
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1968 |
MMR
1 - 0
ISR
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
ISR
6 - 1
HKG
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1968 |
ISR
4 - 0
LKA
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NIR
0 - 0
WAL
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SCO
2 - 1
NIR
70%
17%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |