Israel vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
KOR
3 - 1
ISR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1977 |
JPN
0 - 2
ISR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ISR
2 - 0
JPN
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ISR
0 - 0
KOR
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
NIR
0 - 1
NED
31%
28%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
NED
0 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
NED
4 - 1
ISL
96%
3%
1%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |