Israel vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1969 |
SWE
3 - 1
ISR
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUT
40%
24%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
ISR
3 - 3
GRC
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1969 |
ISR
2 - 3
SWE
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
BGR
1 - 1
ISR
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
86%
10%
4%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
NED
0 - 1
ENG
22%
24%
55%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
NED
1 - 1
BGR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
POL
2 - 1
NED
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
NED
1 - 0
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |