Israel vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1964 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 0
YUG
34%
24%
43%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 1
KOR
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 0
IND
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1964 |
ISR
1 - 0
HKG
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1964 |
NED
1 - 1
ENG
20%
19%
61%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ALB
0 - 2
NED
45%
21%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 0
NED
63%
18%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
NED
2 - 0
ALB
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
NED
0 - 1
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |