Israel vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1979 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUT
40%
28%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
YUG
4 - 1
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
GRC
4 - 1
HUN
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
GRC
8 - 1
FIN
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |