Israel vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
3 - 1
USA
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1973 |
ISR
1 - 2
URU
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1973 |
KOR
1 - 0
ISR
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
ISR
1 - 0
JPN
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1973 |
KOR
0 - 0
ISR
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1973 |
ISR
3 - 1
USA
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
59%
20%
22%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
USA
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1973 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
USA
1 - 0
BMU
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |