WC Play Offs Final
Global 0-1
Israel vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ISR
58%
24%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
ISR
3 - 3
WAL
43%
29%
28%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
MLT
1 - 2
ISR
28%
26%
47%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1989 |
ISR
0 - 2
NED
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
ROU
3 - 0
ISR
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ISR
58%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
COL
2 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |