Israel vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 5
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 0
ISR
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISR
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 1
NED
50%
20%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1964 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
5 - 0
BGR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 0
BEL
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 2
DDR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 0
ISR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |