Israel vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
KOR
3 - 1
ISR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1977 |
JPN
0 - 2
ISR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ISR
2 - 0
JPN
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
56%
26%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 0
BEL
69%
21%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 0
AUT
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 1
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |