Israel vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
KOR
3 - 1
ISR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1978 |
AUT
1 - 2
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
SCO
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 2
AUT
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
BRD
38%
26%
37%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |