Israel vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
GRC
0 - 1
ISR
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
BRA
4 - 1
ISR
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
1 - 1
ISR
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
MEX
2 - 2
ISR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
GTM
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
HKG
0 - 2
AUS
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1976 |
SGP
0 - 1
AUS
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
IDN
1 - 1
AUS
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
AUS
2 - 0
HKG
84%
11%
6%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1976 |
AUS
0 - 1
HKG
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |