Israel vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
ISR
1 - 1
NIR
54%
28%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
ISR
2 - 4
ROU
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ISR
2 - 7
ARG
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
ISR
1 - 2
ENG
21%
28%
51%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1986 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCO
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
AUT
4 - 1
BRD
28%
27%
46%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
BRD
2 - 2
ESP
68%
19%
12%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
DEN
0 - 2
BRD
34%
26%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
3 - 2
BRD
46%
24%
31%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRD
49%
23%
28%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |