Israel vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ISR
2 - 0
ALB
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ISR
2 - 1
SCO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
NIR
3 - 0
ISR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
ISR
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ISR
1 - 2
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ARG
3 - 0
GTM
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GTM
1 - 0
CUB
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
GTM
3 - 0
CUB
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
GTM
9 - 3
VCT
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | +1 |