Cook Islands vs Tonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TAH
1 - 1
COK
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
COK
0 - 2
SOL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
COK
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +8 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
COK
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VAN
5 - 0
TON
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
TON
1 - 2
ASA
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
COK
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FIJ
5 - 0
TON
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | -1 |