Cook Islands vs Samoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
COK
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
COK
3%
13%
84%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COK
2 - 3
SAM
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
5 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 10
TAH
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -3 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
ASA
90%
8%
2%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |