Iceland vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.4%
73.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
27.6%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1980 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISL
93%
5%
2%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1980 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
67%
17%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1980 |
ISL
1 - 1
FIN
46%
22%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1980 |
ISL
0 - 4
WAL
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1980 |
SUN
2 - 0
YUG
67%
18%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
0 - 1
DDR
68%
18%
14%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
2 - 1
KWT
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
8 - 0
CUB
84%
10%
5%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1980 |
SUN
3 - 1
ZAM
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |