EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 3-5
Iceland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1962 |
IRL
4 - 2
ISL
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1962 |
ISL
1 - 3
NOR
57%
19%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1960 |
ISL
0 - 5
BRD
37%
23%
41%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1960 |
NOR
4 - 0
ISL
59%
18%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1959 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1962 |
IRL
4 - 2
ISL
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
IRL
2 - 3
AUT
44%
23%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CSK
7 - 1
IRL
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
IRL
1 - 3
CSK
49%
22%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
IRL
0 - 3
SCO
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |