Iceland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1987 |
ISL
2 - 2
NED
19%
28%
53%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISL
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
ITA
2 - 0
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
KWT
0 - 1
ISL
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1987 |
KWT
1 - 1
ISL
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1987 |
DDR
2 - 0
CSK
52%
26%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
POR
0 - 0
DDR
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
SUN
2 - 0
DDR
65%
21%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
DDR
0 - 0
ITA
45%
28%
28%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
TUR
3 - 1
DDR
24%
29%
47%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |