Iceland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
ISL
0 - 0
FRA
20%
20%
60%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
DDR
1 - 1
ISL
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
DEN
2 - 1
ISL
82%
11%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ISL
0 - 2
BEL
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1974 |
ISL
2 - 2
FIN
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1975 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
DDR
4 - 0
GRC
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
GRC
0 - 1
DDR
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
DDR
0 - 0
BGR
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
DDR
0 - 0
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |