Iceland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
USA
42%
22%
36%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
DEN
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
NIR
2 - 0
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
BEL
4 - 0
ISL
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
NED
4 - 1
ISL
96%
3%
1%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
FIN
0 - 1
POL
13%
20%
68%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1978 |
POL
3 - 1
MEX
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |