Iceland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 2
DDR
7%
17%
76%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1973 |
ISL
1 - 2
DDR
7%
17%
76%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1973 |
SWE
1 - 0
ISL
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1972 |
NOR
4 - 1
ISL
73%
14%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1972 |
ISL
2 - 5
DEN
34%
22%
44%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1973 |
NOR
3 - 0
PRK
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
NOR
1 - 1
IRL
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
NED
9 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
NOR
0 - 2
BEL
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |