Iceland vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
ISL
2 - 1
CYP
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
ISL
1 - 1
MKD
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
EST
0 - 3
ISL
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
MLT
1 - 4
ISL
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1996 |
RUS
3 - 0
ISL
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
YUG
6 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 93 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
MKD
1 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
MLT
1 - 4
ISL
29%
28%
44%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1996 |
MLT
0 - 0
SVN
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
MLT
0 - 2
RUS
3%
16%
81%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |